YAHOO.COM - Of two potential Democratic successors to Barack Obama, one has a clear
advantage in personal popularity: Hillary Clinton, whose favorability
rating exceeds Joe Biden's by a hefty 19 percentage points in the latest
ABC News/Washington Post poll.
Clinton, set to testify before Congress today about the Benghazi attack,
appears undamaged by the security failure that led to the death of the
U.S. ambassador to Libya: Sixty-seven percent of Americans see her
favorably overall, numerically a new high in her long career in the
public spotlight, and essentially unchanged in recent months.
Biden, for his part, is seen
favorably by many fewer Americans, 48 percent, vs. 37 percent
unfavorable. That's a slight improvement over his break-even rating this
summer during the presidential campaign, but worse than the consistent
majority positive ratings he received immediately preceding and
following the 2008 campaign.
The outgoing secretary of state also outperforms the vice president in
intensity of sentiment in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates.
More than twice as many Americans see Clinton "strongly" favorably than
strongly unfavorably - 35 vs. 14 percent - while Biden breaks even, 22
vs. 23 percent, in this measure.
Not only the visibility of Clinton's job as the country's top diplomat,
but also its relative distance from the political battles in Washington,
likely have benefited her image. Biden's position as vice president
carries greater risk, given his closer proximity to the political fray.
His reputation for sometimes controversial off-the-cuff comments
likewise may have done him some harm.
Clinton also shapes up well against prominent Republicans, as measured
in polling last summer. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) was largely unknown; Jeb
Bush, former governor of Florida, was underwater, 36-45 percent
favorable-unfavorable; and the public divided essentially evenly on Rep.
Paul Ryan (R-WI), the 2012 GOP nominee for vice president.
GROUPS - Clinton is more popular than Biden across groups - notably, in
partisan terms, among independents. She's seen more favorably than the
vice president by 13 and 17 points among Democrats and Republicans,
respectively, but by 23 points among independents, 65 percent vs. 42
percent for Biden. This gap reflects both more negative opinions of
Biden and greater indecision about him.
Clinton's intensity advantage is apparent among partisans as well. Six
in 10 of her own party's supporters see her strongly favorably, while 44
percent say so of Biden. Among Republicans, more have a strongly
negative opinion of Biden than Clinton, 45 vs. 32 percent. And among
independents, strongly positive views of Clinton outnumber intensely
negative ones by 2-1, while for Biden, it's reversed.
Clinton's popularity surplus over Biden tops out among Hispanics (29
points, 73 vs. 44 percent favorable) in large part because many more
have no opinion of Biden. By contrast, both are broadly popular among
blacks - 83 and 79 percent, respectively. Clinton outdistances Biden by
the same amount among whites as she does overall.
Notably, no gender gap is apparent: Both possible 2016 competitors do
better among women than men - and Clinton outscores Biden by essentially
the same amount among both sexes. And finally, for the record: Neither
has expressed an intention actually to run for president.
METHODOLOGY - This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by
landline and cell phone Jan. 16-20, 2013, among a random national sample
of 1,033 adults. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points. The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y., with sampling, data collection and tabulation by SSRS/Social Science Research Solutions of Media, Pa.